Sensex Predictions for tomorrow: 18 July 2025

BSE Sensex Deep Analysis - July 18, 2025

BSE Sensex Deep Analysis

Tomorrow's Trading Blueprint - July 18, 2025

📈 Sensex Current Status & Market Pulse

Current Level

82,259
-375 points (-0.45%)

Day's Range

82,180 - 82,680
500 points spread

Volume

2.45B
Above average

Market Cap

₹341.2L Cr
BSE Universe
📊 Market Insight: Sensex has declined 375 points to close at 82,259, showing increased selling pressure compared to earlier in the week. The index has broken below key support levels and is now testing the 82,200-82,300 range. This decline reflects broader market concerns about valuations and FII selling pressure.

🎯 Technical Analysis & Key Levels

Critical Support & Resistance Levels

Immediate Support

82,281

Strong buying interest expected

Major Support

81,990

Critical level for bulls

Immediate Resistance

82,802

Previous day's high

Major Resistance

83,324

Weekly high to watch

🎯 Tomorrow's Opening Prediction

Expected Opening Range: 82,100 - 82,400

Trend: Negative to flat opening expected

Key Trigger: Infosys Q1 results and FII selling pressure

Intraday Range: 81,800 - 82,600

📊 Sentiment Analysis

Overall Sensex Sentiment: Cautiously Bearish

Bearish Neutral Bullish

🔴 Bearish Factors

• FII selling pressure (₹1,500 crore daily outflows)

• High valuations concerns from global institutions

• Break below 82,281 support level

• Global economic uncertainty

🟢 Bullish Factors

• Strong realty sector performance

• Banking sector resilience

• Low India VIX (12.32)

• Value buying opportunities

🎮 Trading Strategies for Sensex

🎯 Day Trading Strategy

Entry: Buy above 82,400 for target 82,800

Stop Loss: Below 82,100

Risk-Reward: 1:1.5

Time Frame: 9:30 AM - 3:15 PM

Strategy: Breakout trading above resistance

📈 Swing Trading Strategy

Entry: Buy in 82,200-82,400 range

Target: 83,500-84,000

Stop Loss: Below 81,800

Time Frame: 3-5 days

Strategy: Support-based accumulation

🎪 Options Strategy

Strategy: Iron Condor (82,500-83,000)

Sell: 82,700 CE & 82,700 PE

Buy: 82,500 PE & 83,000 CE

Max Profit: If Sensex closes 82,600-82,800

Risk: Limited to premium paid

🛡️ Risk Management

Position Size: Maximum 2% of capital

Stop Loss: Mandatory at 1% below entry

Profit Booking: 50% at first target

Trailing SL: After 1:1 risk-reward

Max Loss: 2% per trade

🏆 Top Sensex Stocks Analysis

RELIANCE
Weight: 8.5%
HOLD - Consolidation phase
TCS
Weight: 7.2%
AVOID - Weak Q1 results
HDFC BANK
Weight: 6.8%
BUY - Banking strength
INFOSYS
Weight: 6.1%
WATCH - Q1 results due
ICICI BANK
Weight: 5.4%
BUY - Strong fundamentals
HINDUNILVR
Weight: 4.9%
HOLD - Defensive play
L&T
Weight: 4.2%
BUY - Infrastructure play
SBIN
Weight: 3.8%
HOLD - PSU bank leader

📋 Action Plan for Tomorrow

🎯 Pre-Market Preparation

9:00 AM: Check SGX Nifty and global cues

9:10 AM: Monitor Infosys Q1 results impact

9:15 AM: Assess opening levels vs prediction

9:30 AM: Execute strategy based on opening

🎪 Intraday Milestones

10:00 AM: First hour trend confirmation

11:00 AM: WPI data release impact

2:00 PM: Banking sector strength assessment

3:00 PM: Closing strategy execution

⚠️ Important Disclaimer

This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Stock market investments carry substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Sensex can be volatile and unpredictable. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading losses incurred based on this analysis.

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