Market Forecast & Trading Strategy
July 14, 2025
Comprehensive Analysis for Intraday Trading
Key Market Insights
Market Outlook
Flat to slightly lower opening expected
Trading Range
NIFTY: 24,992 - 25,308
Global Impact
S&P 500 down 0.33%, tariff concerns
Market Summary
- Expected lower opening around 25,100 due to weak global cues
- Range-bound trading likely between key support and resistance levels
- Tight risk management essential due to tariff-related volatility
Current Market Indicators
NIFTY 50
25,149.85
-0.81%
S&P 500
6,259.75
-0.33%
GIFT NIFTY
25,101
-48 pts
India VIX
12.52
Low volatility
NIFTY Price Action & Forecast
Key Technical Levels
Support Levels
NIFTY Support 1
24,992
NIFTY Support 2
24,894
SENSEX Support 1
81,983
BANK NIFTY Support 1
56,436
Resistance Levels
NIFTY Resistance 1
25,308
NIFTY Resistance 2
25,406
SENSEX Resistance 1
83,018
BANK NIFTY Resistance 1
57,074
Technical Levels Visualization
Intraday Trading Strategy
Buy Strategy
Entry: Near 24,992 (Support 1)
Target: 25,308 (Resistance 1)
Stop Loss: Below 24,894
Risk-Reward: 1:3
Sell Strategy
Entry: Near 25,308 (Resistance 1)
Target: 24,992 (Support 1)
Stop Loss: Above 25,406
Risk-Reward: 1:3
Trading Timeline & Execution
Morning Session (9:15 AM - 11:30 AM)
9:15 AM: Monitor opening levels around 25,100
9:30 AM: Assess initial volatility and direction
10:00 AM: Look for entry signals near key levels
11:00 AM: Monitor global cues and news impact
Afternoon Session (1:00 PM - 3:30 PM)
1:00 PM: Re-evaluate positions post lunch
2:00 PM: Watch for afternoon volatility
3:00 PM: Prepare for closing positions
3:30 PM: Close all intraday positions
Risk Management Guidelines
Critical Risk Factors
- Global market weakness with S&P 500 down 0.33%
- Tariff threats escalating to 50%, increasing volatility
- GIFT NIFTY indicating lower opening by 48 points
- Mixed economic data with manufacturing weakness
Position Sizing
- • Risk max 1-2% of capital per trade
- • Use tight stop-losses (100-200 points)
- • Maintain 1:3 risk-reward ratio
- • Close positions before 3:30 PM
Monitoring Points
- • Global news on tariffs
- • U.S. market movements
- • Volume confirmation
- • RSI levels for entries
Technical Tools
- • 15-minute charts for entries
- • RSI for momentum confirmation
- • Volume spikes validation
- • Candlestick patterns
Global Market Context
Global Market Performance
U.S. Market Impact
- S&P 500 down 0.33% from recent highs
- Dow Jones declined 0.63%
- Lower-than-average trading volume
- Tariff escalation concerns
Asian Market Trends
- ASX futures down 0.2%
- European Stoxx 50 down 1%
- Mixed sentiment across Asia
- Trade policy uncertainty
Trading Summary
July 14, 2025 presents a cautious trading environment with range-bound opportunities. Focus on technical levels, maintain strict risk management, and stay alert to global developments that could trigger volatility.
Strategy Focus
Range trading with tight stops
Risk Management
1-2% capital risk per trade
Time Horizon
Intraday only, close by 3:30 PM