Stock Market Prediction Today: 15 July 2025

📊 Indian Stock Market Analysis & Trading Guide

Monday, July 15, 2025 | Market Open at 9:15 AM
⚠️ Market Alert: Yesterday's session witnessed significant selling pressure with Sensex falling 689.81 points (-0.83%) and Nifty dropping 205.4 points (-0.81%). IT and Auto sectors led the decline following TCS's disappointing Q1 results.

📉 Yesterday's Market Recap (July 14, 2025)

SENSEX

82,500.47
▼ 689.81 (-0.83%)

NIFTY 50

25,149.85
▼ 205.4 (-0.81%)

BANK NIFTY

56,754.70
▼ 201.3 (-0.35%)

FINNIFTY

26,853.10
▼ 131 (-0.49%)

🎯 Key Market Statistics

39
Stocks Down
11
Stocks Up
₹5,104 Cr
FII Selling
₹3,558 Cr
DII Buying

📊 Top Movers Analysis

Top Losers Change % Sector Impact
TCS -3.47% IT Q1 Results Miss
M&M -2.93% Auto Sector Weakness
Hero MotoCorp -2.74% Auto Demand Concerns
Wipro -2.62% IT IT Selloff
Bajaj Auto -2.54% Auto Export Worries
Top Gainers Change % Sector Catalyst
SBI Life +1.37% Insurance Defensive Buy
Sun Pharma +0.71% Pharma US Launch News
Axis Bank +0.63% Banking Value Buying
IndusInd Bank +0.64% Banking Outperformance
Hindustan Unilever +0.46% FMCG Defensive Play

📈 Sectoral Performance Dashboard

IT Sector ▼ -2.5% Heavy Selling
Auto ▼ -2.1% Under Pressure
Banking → -0.35% Mixed Trend
Pharma ▲ +0.5% Resilient
FMCG ▲ +0.3% Defensive Buy
Metal ▼ -1.5% Commodity Weak

🔮 Today's Market Outlook (July 15, 2025)

Pre-Market Update: GIFT Nifty trading at 25,151 (+21 points), indicating a flat to mildly positive opening. Asian markets mixed with Japan's Nikkei up 0.5%, while Hong Kong down 0.3%.

📊 Key Factors to Watch Today

  • Earnings Season: More Q1FY26 results expected, market focus on management commentary
  • US-India Trade Deal: Any positive development could boost sentiment
  • FII Activity: Monitor institutional flows for market direction
  • Technical Levels: Nifty below both 20 & 50-day EMAs, crucial support at 25,000
  • Global Cues: US futures flat, crude oil stable at $68-70

📈 Trading Setups for Today

🎯NIFTY 50 Trading Levels

Support 1 25,000
Support 2 24,800
Resistance 1 25,300
Resistance 2 25,415
Strategy: Bearish below 25,415. Short with SL at 25,415 on closing basis. Buy only above 25,415 for targets of 25,600-25,800.

💼SENSEX Trading Levels

Support 1 82,200
Support 2 81,800
Resistance 1 82,800
Resistance 2 83,367
Strategy: Maintain bearish stance below 83,367. Look for bounce from 82,200 support for quick trades.

🏦BANK NIFTY Trading Levels

Support 1 56,436
Support 2 56,238
Resistance 1 57,074
Resistance 2 57,323
Strategy: Negative bias after breaching 20-day EMA. Hold shorts with SL at 57,323. Banking earnings crucial for direction.

🎯 Stocks in Focus Today

Rallis India

98% YoY profit growth in Q1, Revenue up 22%

Action: Buy on dips

Sun Pharma

Launched LEQSELVI in US market

Action: Positive bias

LIC

New CEO appointment - R Doraiswamy

Action: Watch for moves

Power Mech Projects

Strong order book momentum

Action: Accumulate

Rail Vikas Nigam

Infrastructure focus beneficiary

Action: Long-term buy

TCS

Post-results weakness, oversold

Action: Wait for stability

📅 Upcoming IPOs This Week

IPO Name Open Date Close Date Price Band Size
Anthem Biosciences July 14 July 16 ₹TBA ₹3,395 Cr
GLEN Industries Listed Today - ₹97 ₹63 Cr
Smartworks Coworking July 10 July 14 ₹TBA ₹583 Cr

💡 Trading Strategies & Tips

For Intraday Traders:

  • Wait for first 30 minutes before taking positions
  • Focus on index movements rather than individual stocks
  • Keep strict stop losses - market volatility high
  • Book profits at resistance levels
  • Avoid overnight positions in high-beta stocks

For Swing Traders:

  • Look for oversold IT stocks for bounce trades
  • Accumulate quality pharma and FMCG stocks on dips
  • PSU banks showing relative strength - watch for breakouts
  • Keep 3-5% stop loss for all positions

For Long-term Investors:

  • Use current weakness to accumulate quality stocks
  • Focus on companies with strong Q1 results
  • Consider SIP route for systematic investment
  • Avoid averaging down in underperforming sectors

📊 Market Outlook Summary

📊 Market Outlook Summary

Short Term (1 Week) Range: 24,800-25,600 Volatility Expected
Medium Term (1 Month) Target: 26,000 Post Earnings Rally
Key Support 25,000 (Crucial) Must Hold
Key Resistance 25,415 Breakout Level

⚡ Quick Action Points

9:15 AM
Market Opens
10:00 AM
Best Entry Time
2:30 PM
Intraday Exit
3:30 PM
Market Close

🎯 Top Trading Ideas for Today

Best Buy: Rallis India, Sun Pharma, PSU Banks
Avoid: IT stocks (wait for stability), Auto sector
Watch: Banking earnings, US-India trade news, FII data at 6 PM

📱 Stay Updated

Markets are expected to remain volatile with stock-specific action. Key levels to watch:

  • Nifty: Decisive close above 25,415 needed for bullish momentum
  • Bank Nifty: 57,323 is the key level for trend reversal
  • Sensex: Support at 82,200 critical for bulls
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Stock market investments are subject to market risks. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The information provided is based on market data available as of July 15, 2025, and may change rapidly. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and invest according to your risk profile.
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