📊 Intraday Market Outlook
3 July 2025 • Real-time Analysis & Trade Setups
Nifty 50
-0.35%
25,453
RSI
61
Status
Above EMAs
Trend
Consolidating
Range
25,400-25,500
Support S1
25,421
Support S2
25,384
Support S3
25,358
Resistance R1
25,486
Resistance R2
25,553
Resistance R3
25,596
Bank Nifty
-0.8%
56,999
RSI
59
MACD
Fading
EMA Status
Above 200
Candle
Bearish
Support S1
56,953
Support S2
56,837
Support S3
56,651
Resistance R1
57,170
Resistance R2
57,424
Resistance R3
57,628
Sensex
-0.34%
83,410
EMA 200
Above
Pattern
Lower Top
Key Resistance
83,500-83,550
Candle
Bearish
Support S1
83,364
Support S2
83,264
Support S3
83,150
Resistance R1
83,554
Resistance R2
83,752
Resistance R3
83,933
🎯 Comprehensive Trading Strategy
Our intraday strategy focuses on mean reversion plays near key technical levels while maintaining strict risk management. The current market environment favors selective buying on dips with quick profit booking. Each trade setup is designed with a minimum 1:2.5 risk-reward ratio to ensure positive expectancy over time.
Nifty 50
Buy Setup
Strategy Rationale: Nifty is consolidating above all major EMAs, indicating underlying strength. The 25,420-25,430 zone represents a confluence of yesterday's low and the 20-EMA support. This creates a high-probability bounce setup with favorable risk-reward.
Entry Zone:
25,420 - 25,430
Target:
25,550 - 25,600
Stop Loss:
25,380
Risk/Reward:
1:3.5
Execution Notes: Enter only if price shows rejection from the support zone with volume confirmation. Exit 50% position at first target and trail stops for remaining quantity.
Bank Nifty
Buy Setup
Strategy Rationale: Bank Nifty is testing the crucial 56,800-57,000 pivot zone. Despite being below short-term EMAs, the index remains above the 200-EMA, suggesting long-term trend integrity. The current dip presents a buying opportunity for a potential rally toward 57,500+.
Entry Zone:
56,800 - 56,850
Target:
57,500 - 58,000
Stop Loss:
56,600
Risk/Reward:
1:3.2
Execution Notes: Look for hammer or doji candlestick patterns at support levels. Banking sector sentiment is crucial - monitor any sector-specific news during the session.
Sensex
Short Setup
Strategy Rationale: Sensex is forming a "lower top" pattern and facing resistance at 83,500-83,550. The bearish daily candle suggests weakness. A breakdown below 83,364 would confirm the short-term bearish outlook and trigger further selling toward 83,150.
Entry:
Below 83,364
Target:
83,150 - 83,000
Stop Loss:
83,550
Risk/Reward:
1:2.8
Execution Notes: Short only on decisive breakdown with volume. If price reverses above 83,550, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a bullish setup may emerge.
📈 Sector Analysis & Market Dynamics
Today's market shows sectoral rotation with defensive sectors outperforming cyclicals. The broader market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic despite yesterday's minor correction. Key technical levels are holding, suggesting underlying strength in the market structure.
Metals & Mining
Bullish Momentum
The metals sector is experiencing strong institutional buying, driven by global supply chain concerns and robust domestic demand. Tata Steel's breakout above key resistance levels indicates potential for further upside. Steel prices have shown resilience despite global headwinds, making this sector attractive for momentum traders. Watch for volume confirmation on any breakouts.
Pharmaceuticals
Defensive Strength
Pharma stocks are acting as market stabilizers during this consolidation phase. Export-oriented companies are benefiting from favorable currency movements and steady international demand. The sector's defensive characteristics make it attractive during uncertain market conditions. Generic drug manufacturers are showing particular strength due to regulatory approvals and new product launches.
Banking & Financial Services
Profit Booking Phase
The banking sector is experiencing profit booking after recent outperformance. Rising bond yields and concerns about credit growth are creating headwinds. However, this correction appears healthy and may present buying opportunities for long-term investors. Private banks are showing more resilience compared to PSU banks, indicating quality differentiation in the market.
Green Energy & Infrastructure
Thematic Growth
The green energy transition theme continues to drive investor interest. Companies like Inox Green Energy are benefiting from policy support and increasing corporate commitments to renewable energy. Infrastructure and engineering companies are seeing improved order books due to government capex spending. This sector offers both growth and sustainability themes for investors.
⭐ Analyst Picks for Today
Tata Steel
Aurobindo Pharma
HBL Engineering
Inox Green Energy
Can Fin Homes
Tags
Market Prediction